Nutrien (NTR) Q1 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates

Nutrien (NTR) Q1 Earnings How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates

For the quarter ended March 2025, Nutrien (NTR) reported revenue of $5.1 billion, down 5.4% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $0.11, compared to $0.46 in the year-ago quarter.

The reported revenue represents a surprise of -4.18% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.32 billion. With the consensus EPS estimate being $0.33, the EPS surprise was -66.67%.

While investors closely watch year-over-year changes in headline numbers — revenue and earnings — and how they compare to Wall Street expectations to determine their next course of action, some key metrics always provide a better insight into a company’s underlying performance.

Since these metrics play a crucial role in driving the top- and bottom-line numbers, comparing them with the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated about them helps investors better project a stock’s price performance.

Here is how Nutrien performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts:


  • Potash – Sales volumes – Total

    : 3,402 KTon versus the five-analyst average estimate of 3,255.3 KTon.

  • Nitrogen – Sales volumes – Total

    : 2,469 KTon versus the five-analyst average estimate of 2,473.23 KTon.

  • Average Selling Price per Tonne – Phosphate – Industrial and feed

    : 817 $/Ton versus the five-analyst average estimate of 777.8 $/Ton.

  • Average Selling Price per Tonne – Phosphate – Total

    : 710 $/Ton versus 614.19 $/Ton estimated by five analysts on average.

  • Sales- Retail (Nutrient Ag Solutions)- Total

    : $3.09 billion versus $3.49 billion estimated by six analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a -6.6% change.

  • Sales- Potash

    : $861 million versus the six-analyst average estimate of $783.90 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of -7.1%.

  • Sales- Phosphate

    : $405 million versus $435.19 million estimated by six analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a -18.8% change.

  • Sales- Nitrogen

    : $1.07 billion versus the six-analyst average estimate of $972.08 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of +4.5%.

  • Net Sales- Eliminations

    : -$288 million versus -$391.41 million estimated by five analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a -9.4% change.

  • Net Sales- Potash

    : $744 million versus the five-analyst average estimate of $665.54 million. The reported number represents a year-over-year change of -8.5%.

  • Net Sales- Nitrogen

    : $954 million versus $848.02 million estimated by five analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a +4.7% change.

  • Sales- Retail (Nutrient Ag Solutions)- Crop nutrients

    : $1.19 billion versus $1.61 billion estimated by four analysts on average. Compared to the year-ago quarter, this number represents a -8.8% change.

View all Key Company Metrics for Nutrien here>>>

Shares of Nutrien have returned +20.5% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite’s +10.6% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating that it could perform in line with the broader market in the near term.

This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (Dekapos).

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About the Author: Harry Mikailian

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